El Niño update, September 25: what to know

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Flash Flood Warning, in effect until 6:15 PM PDT (NWS Las Vegas NV). Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Flash Flood Warning, in effect until 7:30 PM PDT (NWS San Diego CA). Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Slight risk of high winds for parts of the California and southwestern Oregon coast, Fri-Sun, Oct 2-4.” Source: CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Flood Advisory: 3 (CA) · Lake Wind Advisory: 3 (CA) · Flash Flood Warning: 2 (CA) · Air Quality Alert: 1 (CA) · Beach Hazards Statement: 1 (CA) · Red Flag Warning: 1 (CA)

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Flash Flood Warning, in effect until 7:30 PM PDT (NWS San Diego CA). Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Beach Hazards Statement, in effect until 5:00 PM PDT (NWS San Diego CA). Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

No items for this region in this post.

Active NWS alerts: Beach Hazards Statement: 1 (CA) · Flash Flood Warning: 1 (CA) · Flood Advisory: 1 (CA)

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Flash Flood Warning, in effect until 8:45 PM MDT (NWS Albuquerque NM). Source: NWS active alerts — NM (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Flash Flood Warning, in effect until 6:15 PM MDT (NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM). Source: NWS active alerts — NM (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

• The Weather Prediction Center says: “Widespread precipitation likely in the Four Corners states and reaching the Plains/Mississippi Valley early to mid-next week” Source: WPC Extended Forecast Discussion (opens in a new tab)
• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “This potential TC may track northward towards the Baja California Peninsula early in week-2 which could bring enhanced low to mid-level moisture to the Desert Southwest.” Source: CPC 6-10 / 8-14 Day Outlook Discussion (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Flash Flood Warning: 9 (NM) · Flood Advisory: 3 (AZ, NM) · Flood Watch: 3 (NM) · Lake Wind Advisory: 3 (NV) · Red Flag Warning: 2 (NV) · Special Weather Statement: 2 (AZ, NM) · Flood Warning: 1 (NM)

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Flash Flood Warning, in effect until 7:45 PM CDT (NWS Midland/Odessa TX). Source: NWS active alerts — TX (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Flash Flood Warning, in effect until 8:15 PM CDT (NWS Lubbock TX). Source: NWS active alerts — TX (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Therefore, above-normal precipitation probabilities are enhanced from eastern Texas and the Lower Mississippi Valley north to the Ohio Valley.” Source: CPC 6-10 / 8-14 Day Outlook Discussion (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Flash Flood Warning: 3 (TX) · Flood Watch: 3 (TX) · Air Quality Alert: 2 (TX) · Severe Thunderstorm Warning: 1 (TX) · Special Weather Statement: 1 (TX)

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Coastal Flood Warning, in effect until 10:00 AM EDT (NWS Wakefield VA). Source: NWS active alerts — NC (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Coastal Flood Warning, in effect until 11:00 PM EDT (NWS Newport/Morehead City NC). Source: NWS active alerts — NC (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Slight risk of heavy precipitation for much of the southeastern CONUS, Fri-Mon, Oct 2-5.” Source: CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook (opens in a new tab)
• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “The front is expected to slow its southward progression and above-normal precipitation probabilities are larger (>40%) for portions of the Southeast and along the Gulf Coast.” Source: CPC 6-10 / 8-14 Day Outlook Discussion (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Coastal Flood Advisory: 14 (FL, GA, SC, NC) · High Surf Advisory: 8 (FL, GA, NC) · Rip Current Statement: 8 (FL, GA, NC) · Coastal Flood Warning: 3 (NC) · Beach Hazards Statement: 2 (SC, NC) · Flood Warning: 2 (FL) · Coastal Flood Statement: 1 (FL) · Wind Advisory: 1 (NC)